Amid Canadian cannabis stock meltdown, analysts warn against ‘panic selling’

As Canadian medical cannabis stocks plunge from their record highs, analysts say the volatility could dampen the mood for mergers and acquisitions and access to blazing capital markets for some companies – at least until stability sets in.

Since peaking in early January, the Canadian Marijuana Index – representing 24 leading cannabis stocks – has tumbled 35%, wiping out 7 billion Canadian dollars ($5.6 billion) in market cap.

Some of the biggest losers since Jan. 9 include Canopy Growth (TSE: WEED), down 44%; Aphria (TSE: APH), down 43%; and Cronos Group (TSX: MJN), down 52%.

Khurram Malik – a partner with Jacob Capital Management, a Toronto-based financial advisory firm – said this week’s market pullback is “perfectly healthy” given that the index had risen 380% since Sept. 1.

“Stocks are coming back to Earth after a very unusual spike in December,” he said. “They had no business being where they were and now they’re coming back to more reasonable levels.”

Chris Damas, editor of the Barrie, Ontario-based BCMI Cannabis Report, said the recent volatility could “take the bloom off the rose” for companies looking at M&As, because raising capital by potential acquirers has suddenly become problematic.

Damas said the current meltdown is no surprise, given the recent gains. “The technical indicators have been flashing on this,” he said.

Damas warned retail investors against “panic selling” and urged them to “reassess your risk profile and be aware that there’s nothing magical about cannabis. Look at bitcoin. Unless you’re a very risk tolerant investor, you might want to rethink your strategy.”

Matt Lamers can be reached at [email protected]

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6 comments on “Amid Canadian cannabis stock meltdown, analysts warn against ‘panic selling’
  1. Christopher Simmons on

    There telling the average or novice investor to not sell, after they have shorted these stocks and can no longer get anything out of them.

    Reply
  2. Clayton McCann on

    Prepare for more volatility in this sector, as news out of Oregon has shown that over-supply, where Canada is headed, has led to gram prices dropping to $0.11 ($50/LB). If you think high-cap MJ is something you can bank on, you’re smoking your own supply!

    Reply
  3. Bruce Ryan on

    No kidding. The basic fundamentals did not support valuations. Sheer unicorn territory. Social use will increase the “market base” substantially ~ with an interesting set of problems to resolve at the Provincial level. Government intelligence is an oxymoron.

    Reply
  4. Wayne Skip Cummins on

    there appears to be a “kismetic” progression of “lower-highs/lower- lows”, faltering “support” and rabid short-side pressure that is fueling price implosions across almost all if not the entire space… this comes as no surprise given the recent short-run price explosions that were perpetuated by exuberant/irrational hubris and completely devoid of any foundation/grounding in time-tested business/economic/financial principle(s)/tenet(s) let alone reflective of bona-fide/substantive earnings results/growth trends… just more “sector smoke” without any real fire… oddly mirroring the “crypto-crash”…

    Reply
  5. robert carroll ellsworth on

    right now I think aurora at $7 a share is the best / only , but will they make a go of the billions $ price for cannimed?

    Reply
  6. Rick Ortiz on

    Warren Buffett
    “Price is what you pay; value is what you get.’ Whether we’re talking about socks or stocks, I like buying quality merchandise when it is marked down.”

    Reply

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