Hexo needs more capital; shareholders to be further diluted

Hexo Corp. (TSX: HEXO) disclosed that it needs to raise an additional CA$23.6 million - at least - just to satisfy cash needs for fiscal 2020, which total CA$105 million.
Published: March 30, 2020

Hexo Corp.’s (TSX: HEXO) fiscal second-quarter 2020 results, released Monday, were in line on revenue at CA$17.0 million and beat on EBITDA (a loss of CA$10.3 million versus estimated loss of CA$11.7 million).

More importantly, the company disclosed that it needs to raise an additional CA$23.6 million – at least – just to satisfy cash needs for fiscal 2020, which total CA$105 million.

The Ottawa, Ontario-headquartered company provided a detailed breakdown of its obligations due in fiscal 2020 through fiscal 2024 as shown below:

Values in CA$ (000s) F2020 F2021-2022 F2023-2024 Thereafter Total
Accounts Payable & Accrued Liabilities 45,131 – – – 45,131
Excise Tax Payable 5,473 – – – 5,473
Onerous Contract 3,000 – – – 3,000
Convertible Debentures – 47,274 – – 47,274
Term Loan 3,500 28,875 – – 32,375
Lease Obligation 2,208 9,865 8,926 36,802 57,801
Capital Projects 23,266 – – – 23,266
Investment in Associates 8,075 – – – 8,075
Service Contracts 10,917 1,526 329 37 12,809
Purchase Contracts 1,530 – – – 1,530
Operating Leases 13 48 – – 61
Lease Based Operating Expenses 1,923 7,676 6,872 20,348 36,819
Total Obligations 105,034 95,264 16,127 57,187 273,612

As of right now, Hexo’s $81.4 million of cash on hand isn’t enough. However, the company’s management discussion and analysis (MD&A) explains how the additional capital will be raised through amended covenants for a credit facility.

new framework ctas (2)

Terms of the credit facility with CIBC indicate that Hexo will:

  • Raise at least CA$15 million through an equity offering by April 10.
  • Raise at least CA$40 million total through equity offerings by April 30.

If Hexo can raise CA$40 million, that will provide the company with about CA$120 million to satisfy its CA$105 million of obligations.

Raising that amount at the current price of $1.14 would require about 35.1 million new shares to be issued, resulting in a roughly 9.3% dilution to the total share base. If the shares are sold for less than the current stock price $1.14 – which we believe is likely – the dilution will be even greater.

Existing Share Count 341,983,225
New Shares to be Issued 35,100,000
Total NEW Shares 377,083,225
Percentage of Dilution -9.3%

Hexo needs to start producing positive cash flow very soon because the company has another CA$95 million of obligations due in fiscal 2021-2022. While the equity raise will get the company through the next 6-12 months, management still has a difficult road to travel on its way to becoming a healthy, self-funding business.

Unfortunately, this type of massive, persistent dilution is all too commonplace for cannabis equity holders.

Investors should focus on cannabis companies that:

  • Are generating positive cash flow to fund their business plans.
  • Have ample funds on hand to reach cash-flow positive so they don’t have to massively dilute shareholders on their path to profitability.

Craig Behnke can be reached at craigb@mjbizdaily.com.

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